Currently POM Planning uses four main tactical strategies in our core portfolios. In addition to the four listed on this page, we utilize other three other tactical strategies designed for smaller accounts and tactical AI (Artificial Intelligence).
Tactical Strategy #1
Investment Philosophy—this strategy analyzes and recognizes technical patterns in the market to help deliver long-term, repeatable results. We use quantitative analysis to remove emotion from our decision making. A disciplined methodology underlies everything this manager does. The model has been built over 18 years, are based on a continuous process of design, test, validate and repeat.
Strategy Objective—this strategy aims to capture 85% of the market’s upside, while limiting our losses to 50% of its downside, so that over the long-term, the goal is to grow money at 35% more than a buy & hold strategy.
Tactical Strategy #2
Investment Philosophy—this strategy utilizes a tactical investment approach that adapts to the current market environment with the goal of delivering above market, risk-adjusted returns with lower drawdowns than market indices like the S&P 500. Our strategies seek to participate in up markets while protecting capital during down markets. We rely on our proprietary quantitative models to remove human emotions from the investment process and help us objectively navigate the global financial markets.
Strategy Objective—this strategy seeks to outperform the S&P 500 during bull and bear markets. This is an Individual stock strategy that allocates to 20 stocks when both of our trend models (Alpha and Omega) are positive. There is 50% exposure to stocks when one model is positive and 0% exposure when both models are negative. There are no fixed allocations. The strategy can allocate 100% to stocks and 100% to bonds and T-Bills.
Tactical Strategy #3
Management Approach—the investment strategy is aggressive in both bull and bear market cycles. In bull cycles, the portfolio can hold up to 20 fundamentally strong, technically up-trending stocks. In transition markets, the portfolio can hold a combination of cash, stocks and/or inverse ETFs, at the discretion of the portfolio manager. In bear cycles, the strategy focuses on 2x and/or 3x index leveraged inverse ETFs.
Strategy Objective—the objective of this strategy is capital appreciation in both bull and bear markets and capital preservation in transition markets. Stop loss settings are maintained on all holdings. Stops are determined by a quantitative analysis of each holding’s volatility, level of unrealized gains and trend of the major indexes and the holding. Exit transactions can occur at any time.
Tactical Strategy #4
This strategy uses a combination of technical and fundamental analysis. This strategy seeks to identify alpha opportunities through event-driven, opportunistic and/or intrinsic value principles and blends bottom-up research with top-down considerations. It looks for companies which have had strong historical performance and continue to have prospects for sustainable performance (momentum) in several key value drivers, i.e., return on invested capital, growth, cash flows, and valuations. In addition to fundamental analysis, technical analysis is used to help identify price momentum as well as aid in execution decisions.
At any given time, the active equity strategy may contain stocks in various sectors or it may contain concentrated sector allocations as well as various or concentrated market capitalizations. For small-cap companies, the discount from intrinsic value we look for is larger than the discount for mid-cap companies, and the mid-cap category requires a higher discount than the large-cap companies.
To aid in the exit strategy of positions, we have several sell disciplines, some of which are soft rules and others are hard rules. The following are some reasons we may want to exit a securities position:
-Price has risen well above its intrinsic value
-The position has become overweighed relative to the other positions
-Better investment opportunities have been identified
-A mistake was made in the original equity selection
-A stop loss or trailing stop trigger was executed